El Niño · GS-I
Consider the following statements regarding El Niño and its relationship with Indian monsoon rainfall:
- El Niño refers to the anomalous warming of surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, which is part of the broader El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon.
- El Niño years are consistently associated with above-normal rainfall over the Indian subcontinent due to enhanced moisture flux from the Pacific Ocean.
- The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which measures the pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin, is used as an indicator of ENSO conditions affecting Asian monsoon systems.
Which of the statements given above is/are correct?
Explanation
El Niño is defined by the anomalous warming of sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, and it forms the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) system — Statement 1 is correct. Statement 2 is incorrect: El Niño is teleconnected to below-normal (deficit) rainfall over India, not above-normal; the suppression of the Walker Circulation during El Niño weakens the Indian summer monsoon, historically leading to drought conditions in the subcontinent — which is precisely why Indian state governments issue warnings about El Niño-driven rainfall deficits. Statement 3 is correct: the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), computed as the standardised pressure anomaly difference between Tahiti and Darwin (Australia), is the canonical atmospheric indicator of ENSO state and is used by meteorologists to track and forecast monsoon conditions across South and Southeast Asia.